Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: demand mean from CV
A daily demand X is normally distributed with positive mean. Its coefficient of variation is 0.25, and its 90th percentile is 132.038789138615. Calculate the mean of X.
- A
25.000 - B
99.029 - C
100.000 - D
105.631 - E
132.039
Answer and calculation
CV 0.25 gives sigma=0.25mu. The 90th percentile is therefore mu[1+0.25Phi inverse 0.90]. Equating this to 132.03878914 gives mu=100, so choice C is correct.
Setup
Setup
Translate the coefficient of variation into a relation between standard deviation and mean.
μσ=0.25 σ=0.25μ Model
Model
Write the normal 90th percentile using its standard-normal quantile.
q0.90=μ+Φ−1(0.90)σ 132.038789138615=μ[1+0.25(1.2815515655)] Compute
Compute
Solve the linear equation for the positive mean.
132.038789138615=1.3203878914μ Answer
Answer
The mean daily demand is 100.
100.000(C)