This Exam P sample reference tests Normal Distribution. The two supplied normal percentiles determine mean 569.34 and standard deviation 1699.89. Applying the 95th-percentile z-score gives 3365.40, which rounds to 3400 and choice D.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThe value 2300 comes from increasing the 80th-percentile amount by 15%, namely 2000(1.15). A 15-percentage-point change is not a 15% change in the quantile value.
BThe value 2400 comes from 2000(0.95/0.80)=2375, treating percentile values as proportional to cumulative probabilities rather than to normal z-scores.
CA linear extrapolation in percentile rank gives 2000+(0.95-0.80)(1000/0.20)=2750, near this choice after downward rounding; normal quantiles are not linear in percentile rank.
EAssuming the mean is zero and calibrating only from the 80th percentile gives sigma=2000/0.84162 and q_0.95=3908.75, about 3900; the 60th percentile rules out a zero mean.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: tail probability from symmetric benchmarks
A laboratory score is normally distributed. Its 10th percentile is 42 and its 90th percentile is 58. Calculate the probability that a score exceeds 62.
A 0.0374
B 0.0273
C 0.0668
D 0.1000
E 0.9727
Variant answer in brief
Symmetry places the mean at 50, and eight score points equal z_0.90 standard deviations. A score of 62 has z=1.5z_0.90=1.9223, whose upper tail is 0.0273, so choice B is correct.
Setup
Setup
Symmetric normal percentiles lie equally far from the mean.
μ=242+58=50
58−50=8=z0.90σ
Model
Model
Express the new threshold's standardized distance using the calibrated eight-point benchmark.
z62=σ62−50=812z0.90
Compute
Compute
Insert the standard-normal 90th percentile and evaluate the upper tail.
The 3108-page Probability Proof Manual reorganizes 718 verified Exam P solutions by syllabus skill and adds formula proofs, error patterns, and original worked practice.