This Exam P sample reference tests Normal Distribution. This is a normal-quantile matching calculation with a common center and a 1.5 standard-deviation ratio. Multiplying z₀.₈₁ by 1.5 and returning through the normal CDF gives p=90.605%, so choice D is correct.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AA percentile of 83.2 corresponds to z≈0.9621, only about 1.096 times z_0.81. Substitution leaves the first deviation 0.355k below the required 1.3168k.
BThis is near Φ(√(1.5)z_0.81)=0.8585, which results from treating 1.5 as a variance ratio and taking an unnecessary square root.
CThis is tempting after replacing z_0.81 by the percentile decimal 0.8: Φ(1.5 × 0.8)=Φ(1.2)≈0.884, but a probability is not its normal z-score.
EThis reports Φ(1.5)=0.9332 by using the standard-deviation multiplier itself as the final z-score and discarding z_0.81.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: percentile rank of a shared performance threshold
Instrument A produces normally distributed scores with mean 50 and standard deviation 6. Instrument B produces normally distributed scores with mean 56 and standard deviation 4. A cutoff is set at the 90th percentile of Instrument A. What proportion of Instrument B scores fall below that same numerical cutoff?
A 0.3364
B 0.5000
C 0.6636
D 0.9000
E 0.9727
Variant answer in brief
The cutoff is 50+6z₀.₉₀=57.6893. Relative to Instrument B this is 0.422327 standard deviations above its mean, giving probability 0.663607 and choice C.
Setup
Setup
Convert the stated percentile of Instrument A into a numerical cutoff.
z0.90=1.2815515655
t=50+6z0.90=57.6893093933
Model
Model
Standardize that same cutoff using Instrument B's center and scale.
zB=4t−56
Compute
Compute
Evaluate the standardized location and its normal cumulative probability.
zB=457.6893093933−56=0.4223273483
Pr(B≤t)=Φ(0.4223273483)=0.6636069505
Answer
Answer
About 66.36% of Instrument B scores lie below the cutoff.
The 3108-page Probability Proof Manual reorganizes 718 verified Exam P solutions by syllabus skill and adds formula proofs, error patterns, and original worked practice.