This Exam P sample reference tests Uniform Distribution. Write the claim payment as the positive part of the loss after the deductible. Integrating its triangular tail gives an expected payment of (500-d)²⁄¹⁰⁰⁰; setting this equal to 90 yields d = 200, so the verified answer is choice B.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
ASubtracting the expected payment directly from the mean loss gives 250 − 90 = 160. That treats every loss as if it exceeded the deductible and ignores zero-payment outcomes.
CAt a deductible of 240, the stop-loss expectation is (500-240)²⁄¹⁰⁰⁰ = 67.6, not 90; choosing a value near the original mean without integrating the tail understates payment truncation.
DOmitting the one-half from the triangular tail area gives (500-d)²⁄⁵⁰⁰ = 90 and d about 287.9, which points toward D but doubles the true expected payment formula.
ESetting the conditional mean excess (500-d)/2 equal to 90 gives d = 320. This omits the 0.36 probability that a loss actually exceeds that deductible.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: storm-repair reserve
A municipal arts venue models its next storm-repair cost X as uniform between 200 and 1400 dollars. A reserve reimburses only the portion of a repair cost above a 500-dollar trigger. Calculate the expected reimbursement from the reserve.
A $225.00
B $300.00
C $337.50
D $450.00
E $900.00
Variant answer in brief
A repair exceeds the trigger with probability 0.75, and its mean excess conditional on doing so is 450 dollars. Their product is 337.50 dollars, making choice C correct.
Setup
Setup
Represent the reserve reimbursement as the positive excess of the repair cost over the trigger.
X∼Uniform(200,1400),R=(X−500)+
Model
Model
A cost above 500 is uniform over the remaining interval, so separate the chance of reimbursement from its conditional amount.
Pr(X>500)=1400−2001400−500=43
E[X−500∣X>500]=20+900=450
Compute
Compute
Multiply the probability of crossing the trigger by the average excess once it is crossed.
E[R]=43(450)=337.50
Answer
Answer
The reserve's expected reimbursement is 337.50 dollars.
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