Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: expedition battery quantiles
The operating time of an expedition battery pack follows an exponential distribution. Let a be its 30th percentile and b be its 90th percentile. Express b as a multiple of a.
- A
0.087a - B
0.155a - C
3.000a - D
6.456a - E
7.000a
Answer and calculation
Exponential quantiles are proportional to minus the logarithm of the survival probability. Thus b/a=log(0.10)/log(0.70), approximately 6.455696, so choice D is correct.
Setup
Setup
Let θ denote the unknown exponential mean and write the general quantile formula.
qp=−θlog(1−p) Model
Model
Apply the quantile formula to the two stated percentile levels.
a=−θlog(0.70) b=−θlog(0.10) Compute
Compute
Divide the equations so the unknown scale cancels.
ab=log(0.70)log(0.10)=6.4556962358… b=6.4556962358…a Answer
Answer
The 90th percentile is approximately 6.456 times the 30th percentile.
b≈6.456a(D)