Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: variance of a capped warranty layer
A warranty loss L is uniformly distributed from 0 to 12 hundred dollars. The warranty pays the portion of a loss above 4 hundred dollars, but pays no more than 4 hundred dollars. Let Z be the payment in hundreds of dollars. Calculate Var(Z).
- A
16/9 - B
2 - C
28/9 - D
4 - E
64/9
Answer and calculation
The payment is zero below 4, rises linearly from 0 to 4 for losses between 4 and 8, and equals 4 above 8. These pieces give E[Z]=2 and E[Z²]=64/9, so Var(Z)=28/9 and choice C.
Setup
Setup
Write the capped layer payment in its three loss regions.
Z=0(0≤L≤4) Z=L−4(4<L<8) Z=4(8≤L≤12) Model
Model
The loss density is 1/12. Integrate the increasing layer and add the point contribution from the capped region.
E[Z]=121∫48(l−4)dl+4(124) E[Z2]=121∫48(l−4)2dl+16(124) Compute
Compute
Evaluate the two moments and subtract the squared mean.
E[Z]=32+34=2 E[Z2]=916+316=964 Var(Z)=964−22=928 Answer
Answer
The payment variance is 28/9 in squared hundreds of dollars.
928(C)