Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: infer calibration spread from a central coverage rate
A timing calibration error D is uniformly distributed on a symmetric interval centered at zero. Forty percent of calibration errors fall between -2 milliseconds and 2 milliseconds. Calculate Var(D).
- A
2.00 ms² - B
5.00 ms² - C
8.33 ms² - D
10.00 ms² - E
25.00 ms²
Answer and calculation
If the support is [-h,h], the central interval has probability 4/(2h)=0.40, so h=5 and the full width is 10. The variance is 10²⁄¹²=25/3, which rounds to 8.33 and selects choice C.
Setup
Setup
Write the unknown symmetric support using its positive half-width h.
D∼Uniform(−h,h) Model
Model
Uniform probability is an interval-length ratio. The reported central interval has length four.
Pr(−2≤D≤2)=2h4=0.40 Compute
Compute
Solve for the half-width and use the variance of a uniform variable on a symmetric interval.
Var(D)=12(2h)2=12100=325=8.333333… Answer
Answer
The calibration-error variance is approximately 8.33 square milliseconds.
8.33 ms2(C)