Independent solution

How to solve this Joint Distributions question

Answer in brief

Marginalizing the joint mass function over the theft coordinate gives fire-loss probabilities 17/60, 20/60, and 23/60, so E[X] = 2.1. The policyholder retains 44% of that loss, producing 0.924 and choice C.

Setup

Setup

Only the fire coordinate enters the requested loss, so first remove the other coordinate by summation.

fX(x)=y=13x+y260f_X(x)=\sum_{y=1}^{3}\frac{x+y^2}{60}

Model

Model

Evaluate the marginal mass for each possible fire-loss value.

fX(x)=3x+1460f_X(x)=\frac{3x+14}{60}
fX(1)=1760,fX(2)=2060,fX(3)=2360f_X(1)=\frac{17}{60},\quad f_X(2)=\frac{20}{60},\quad f_X(3)=\frac{23}{60}

Compute

Compute

Find the fire-loss expectation and multiply by the fraction not reimbursed.

E[X]=1(17)+2(20)+3(23)60=2.1\mathbb E[X]=\frac{1(17)+2(20)+3(23)}{60}=2.1
E[unreimbursed fire loss]=(10.56)(2.1)=0.924\mathbb E[\text{unreimbursed fire loss}]=(1-0.56)(2.1)=0.924

Answer

Answer

The expected retained amount is choice C.

0.924(C)\boxed{0.924\quad\text{(C)}}