This Exam P sample reference tests Exponential Distribution. This is a shifted-exponential percentile calculation. Setting the CDF to 0.10 gives a standardized excess of log(10/9), so the percentile is d+beta log(10/9), which is choice D.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThis expression omits the location shift d and also uses log(11/10), which does not come from the required survival probability 0.90.
BThe logarithmic excess beta log(10/9) is correct, but it is measured above the lower endpoint; omitting d leaves the answer on the wrong origin.
CAdding d fixes the origin, but log(11/10) treats the 10% probability through an incorrect odds-style ratio instead of using -log(0.90).
EPlacing beta in a logarithmic power or denominator does not invert (q-d)/beta and also fails to retain the location shift.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: sensor recalibration latency
A remote sensor's recalibration latency equals a fixed 3-second handshake plus an independent exponential processing time with mean 8 seconds. Calculate the 75th percentile of the total latency.
A 2.301
B 5.301
C 11.090
D 14.090
E 35.000
Variant answer in brief
At the 75th percentile, the exponential processing time has survival probability 0.25. Adding the fixed handshake to 8 log(4) gives 14.090355 seconds, so choice D is correct.
Setup
Setup
Write total latency T as the fixed handshake plus exponential processing time Y.
T=3+Y,Y∼Exp(scale 8)
Model
Model
For the 75th percentile q, the remaining upper-tail probability is one-quarter.
Pr(T>q)=e−(q−3)/8=0.25
Compute
Compute
Take logarithms, scale by the exponential mean, and restore the fixed delay.
8q−3=−log(0.25)=log4
q=3+8log4=14.0903548890…
Answer
Answer
The 75th percentile of total latency is approximately 14.090 seconds.
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