Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: wind-farm reserve threshold
A wind farm's hourly output is normally distributed with mean 180 MW and standard deviation 24 MW. An operator chooses a reserve threshold R so that output exceeds R in 10% of hours. Calculate the amount by which R exceeds the median hourly output.
- A
24.000 MW - B
30.757 MW - C
39.476 MW - D
180.000 MW - E
210.757 MW
Answer and calculation
The threshold is the 90th percentile and the median is 180 MW. Their difference is 24z0.90=30.757 MW, so choice B.
Setup
Setup
Use normal symmetry to identify the median with the stated mean.
m=180 MW Model
Model
An upper-tail probability of 0.10 places the threshold at cumulative probability 0.90.
R=180+24z0.90 Compute
Compute
Subtract the median and evaluate the 90th standard-normal quantile.
R−m=24(1.2815515655) R−m=30.7572376… MW Answer
Answer
The reserve threshold is 30.757 MW above the median.
30.757 MW(B)