This Exam P sample reference tests Uniform Distribution. The relevant uniform quantiles are 1.4a, a(1+p/100), and 1.8a. The ratio condition makes the middle quantile the geometric mean of the other two, giving p=58.745… and hence choice B.
For a uniform variable on [a,2a], its rth percentile, with r expressed as a number from 0 to 100, advances r/100 of the width a from the lower endpoint.
Qr=a+100r(2a−a)=a(1+100r)
Model
Model
Translate the stated equality of ratios into a squared equation for the unknown middle quantile.
Q40=1.4a,Q80=1.8a,Qp=a(1+100p)
QpQ40=Q80Qp⟹Qp2=Q40Q80
Compute
Compute
Cancel the positive scale a and solve for the percentile rank.
(1+100p)2=(1.4)(1.8)=2.52
p=100(2.52−1)=58.74507866…
Answer
Answer
The requested percentile rank rounds to 58.7.
58.7(B)
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These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThis takes the geometric mean of the percentile labels themselves, √(40 × 80) = 56.568, as if the uniform support began at zero. Here the positive lower endpoint shifts every quantile.
CThis uses the arithmetic midpoint of the ranks, (40+80)/2=60.0. Equal multiplicative ratios require a geometric mean of quantile values, not an arithmetic midpoint.
DAt p=61.4, the two required ratios are 1.4/1.614=0.8674 and 1.614/1.8=0.8967; they are unequal, so this candidate fails the defining condition.
EAt p=65.4, the two ratios become 1.4/1.654=0.8464 and 1.654/1.8=0.9189. This value moves the middle quantile still farther from ratio balance.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: recover a cooldown-time tail
A kiln's cooldown time X is uniformly distributed on an unknown interval [L,U]. The 25th percentile is 18 minutes, and the mean is 30 minutes. Calculate the probability that a cooldown lasts more than 42 minutes.
A 0.200
B 0.250
C 0.300
D 0.500
E 0.750
Variant answer in brief
The quantile and mean equations give [L,U]=[6,54]. The part of this 48-minute interval above 42 has length 12, so the probability is 0.250 and choice B is correct.
Setup
Setup
Write one equation for the reported lower quartile and another for the uniform mean.
0.75L+0.25U=18
2L+U=30
Model
Model
Use L+U=60 to eliminate U from the quartile equation.
0.75L+0.25(60−L)=18
Compute
Compute
The support is [6,54]. Divide the interval length above 42 by the full support width.
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