Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: recover spread from a tail fraction
A laboratory reading X follows a continuous uniform law over an unknown interval. The reading averages 10, while only 20% of readings are above 14. Determine Var(X).
- A
3.85 - B
10.00 - C
13.33 - D
14.81 - E
177.78
Answer and calculation
The threshold 14 is four units above the midpoint and is the 80th percentile. That four-unit shift equals 0.30 of the support width, giving width 40/3 and variance 400/27≈14.81, choice D.
Setup
Setup
Write the support in terms of its known midpoint 10 and unknown width w.
X∼Uniform(10−2w,10+2w) Model
Model
A 0.20 upper tail makes 14 the 80th percentile, located 0.30w above the midpoint.
14=10−2w+0.80w=10+0.30w Compute
Compute
Solve for the support width and insert it into the continuous-uniform variance formula.
w=0.304=340 Var(X)=12w2=12(40/3)2=27400=14.814814… Answer
Answer
The variance rounds to 14.81.
14.81(D)