This Exam P sample reference tests Order Statistics. The population cumulative distribution is the square of the observation. The median of three therefore has density 12 times the difference between its third and fifth powers. Its first two moments are 24/35 and 1/2, giving variance approximately 0.030 and choice B.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThe value 0.019 is approximately the population variance divided by three, the variance of a sample mean rather than a sample median.
CThe value 0.056 is the variance of one observation from the original distribution, not the variance of the median order statistic.
DThe value 0.500 is the second moment of the sample median. The squared mean must still be subtracted.
EThe value 0.714 cannot be the variance of a variable confined to the unit interval; any such variance is at most one quarter.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: expected span between inspection marks
Four inspection marks are placed independently at random along a cable ten metres long. The covered span is the distance between the leftmost and rightmost marks. Calculate the expected length of this span.
A 2
B 4
C 5
D 6
E 8
Variant answer in brief
For four uniform marks along the cable, the expected leftmost position is 2 metres and the expected rightmost position is 8 metres. Linearity of expectation makes the expected span 6 metres, choice D.
Setup
Setup
Write the distribution functions of the rightmost and leftmost mark positions.
Pr(M≤x)=(10x)4
Pr(m>x)=(1−10x)4
Model
Model
Use tail integrals for the two nonnegative order statistics.
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