Independent solution

How to solve this Inclusion–Exclusion question

Setup

Setup

Record the probabilities of the two unions that share event A and partition the remaining sample space by B and its complement.

Pr(AB)=0.7,Pr(ABc)=0.9\Pr(A\cup B)=0.7,\qquad \Pr(A\cup B^c)=0.9

Model

Model

Adding the two union probabilities counts every outcome once and counts outcomes in A one additional time, giving 1+Pr(A).

Pr(AB)+Pr(ABc)=1+Pr(A)\Pr(A\cup B)+\Pr(A\cup B^c)=1+\Pr(A)

Compute

Compute

Solving 0.7+0.9=1+Pr(A) gives Pr(A)=0.6.

Pr(A)=0.7+0.91=0.6\Pr(A)=0.7+0.9-1=0.6

Answer

Answer

The required marginal probability is 0.6, so the correct answer is choice D.

0.6(D)\boxed{0.6\quad\text{(D)}}