This Exam P sample reference tests Uniform Distribution. The deductible payment has moments b/8 and b squared/24, so its variance is 5b squared/192. Dividing by the loss variance b squared/12 gives 5/16, choice D.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThe ratio 1/8 compares E[C squared]=b squared/24 with E[X squared]=b squared/3. The question asks for a ratio of variances, not raw second moments.
BThe ratio 3/16 results from using E[C] squared=b squared/64 as Var(C), then dividing by b squared/12. Squared mean and variance are different quantities.
CThe ratio 1/4 is E[C]/E[X]=(b/8)/(b/2). A ratio of means does not answer a variance-ratio question.
EThe ratio 1/2 uses E[C squared]=b squared/24 in the numerator without subtracting E[C] squared before dividing by Var(X).
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: variance ratio after squaring a symmetric reading
A calibration reading X is uniformly distributed from -1 to 1. A diagnostic display records Y=X². Calculate the ratio Var(Y)/Var(X).
A 0.0889
B 0.2667
C 0.3333
D 0.6000
E 1.0000
Variant answer in brief
For symmetric Uniform(-1,1), Var(X)=1/3. Since Y=X squared, E[Y]=1/3 and E[Y squared]=1/5, giving Var(Y)=4/45. The ratio is 4/15=0.2667, choice B.
Setup
Setup
Use symmetry to obtain the first two moments of the original reading.
E[X]=0
E[X2]=31
Var(X)=31
Model
Model
Translate the display moments into even raw moments of X.
E[Y]=E[X2]=31
E[Y2]=E[X4]=51
Compute
Compute
Form the display variance and divide by the reading variance.
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