This Exam P sample reference tests Events and Set Operations. The intersection fixes the first-year count at one and requires the second-year count to be at least one. Exactly statements iii and iv express those two conditions, so the answer is exactly two, choice C.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
ANone is incorrect because statement iii repeats the two intersection conditions directly, and statement iv becomes the same event after setting the first-year count equal to one.
BExactly one overlooks the equivalence of statement iv: with one first-year accident, a two-year total of at least two is precisely a positive second-year count.
DExactly three incorrectly counts one strict second-year condition as equivalent. Requiring more than one second-year accident excludes outcomes with exactly one.
EAll is impossible because statement ii includes outcomes whose first-year count is not one, while statements i and v exclude valid outcomes having exactly one second-year accident.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: intersect two component-test events
Three labeled components are tested once, and each outcome is written as a three-letter P/F string in test order. Let A be the event that the first component passes, and let B be the event that exactly two components pass. Which set of outcome strings is A intersect B?
A {PPP}
B {PPF, PFP}
C {PPF, PFP, FPP}
D {PFF}
E {PPP, PPF, PFP, PFF}
Variant answer in brief
Event B contains the three strings with exactly two passes. Keeping only those whose first symbol is P leaves PPF and PFP, choice B.
Setup
Setup
List the outcomes satisfying the exact-two-pass requirement.
B={PPF,PFP,FPP}
Model
Model
List the outcomes whose first component passes.
A={PPP,PPF,PFP,PFF}
Compute
Compute
Retain the strings appearing in both sets.
A∩B={PPF,PFP}
Answer
Answer
Exactly two outcome strings satisfy both conditions.
The 3108-page Probability Proof Manual reorganizes 718 verified Exam P solutions by syllabus skill and adds formula proofs, error patterns, and original worked practice.