Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: approximation error for a zero-coupon bond
A ten-year zero-coupon bond redeems for 1,000 and initially yields 5% effective annually. Its yield falls to 4.5%. Use modified duration for a first-order price estimate and determine the percentage error of that estimate relative to the exact new price.
- A
−0.50% - B
−0.24% - C
−0.12% - D
+0.12% - E
+0.50%
Answer and calculation
The first-order estimate is 643.1472 and the exact new price is 643.9277. The relative error is −0.1212%, choice C.
Setup
Setup
Price the zero at the initial yield and compute its modified duration.
P0=1.05101,000=613.913254 Dmod=1.0510=9.523810 Model
Model
Apply the negative 0.5% yield change to the linear duration formula.
E=P0[1−Dmod(−0.005)]=643.147218 Compute
Compute
Calculate the exact price at 4.5% and compare the estimate with it.
P1=1.045101,000=643.927682 P1E−P1=−0.00121204 Answer
Answer
The first-order estimate is low by about 0.12%, choice C.
−0.12%(C)