This Exam FM sample reference tests Duration and Convexity. The decreasing perpetuity-due has Macaulay duration 0.99 divided by 0.01 plus i; setting this to 12 gives i = 7.25%, and modified duration is 12/1.0725 = 11.19 years, choice C.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AChoice A is inconsistent with the geometrically decreasing perpetuity price derivative; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
BChoice B is inconsistent with the geometrically decreasing perpetuity price derivative; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
DChoice D is inconsistent with the geometrically decreasing perpetuity price derivative; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
EChoice E is inconsistent with the geometrically decreasing perpetuity price derivative; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: decline rate implied by perpetuity duration
A perpetuity-due pays 1 immediately and then decreases by a fixed percentage each year. At 6% effective annually its Macaulay duration is 14 years. Determine the annual percentage decrease.
A 0.57%
B 0.82%
C 1.07%
D 1.32%
E 1.57%
Variant answer in brief
Solving the geometric-duration relation gives payment ratio 0.989333, hence annual decrease 1.07%, choice C.
Setup
Setup
Let q be the ratio of each payment to the preceding payment.
14=1.06−qq
Model
Model
The perpetuity-due Macaulay duration is q divided by the difference between the yield factor and q.
14(1.06−q)=q
Compute
Compute
Solving gives ratio 0.9893333, so the missing fraction is 0.0106667.
q=0.9893333,1−q=0.0106667
Answer
Answer
Payments decrease by approximately 1.07% annually, corresponding to choice C.
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