This Exam P sample reference tests Binomial Distribution. The count is binomial. Its mean fixes the common success probability at 3/4, after which np(1-p)=12(3/4)(1/4)=2.25, so choice C is correct.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThis reports the recovered individual probability p=9/12=0.75 rather than the variance of the twelve-person count.
BThis is the standard deviation, √2.25 = 1.50. The question asks for variance, so the square root should not be taken.
DThis repeats the supplied mean np=9.00. A binomial variance includes the additional factor 1-p=1/4.
EThis reports the number of trials n=12.00 and ignores both the success and failure probabilities in np(1-p).
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: infer a dashboard's expected pass count
A dashboard totals the pass indicators from 16 independent devices, all with the same pass probability p. The variance of the displayed total is 3.84, and engineers know p is greater than 0.50. Calculate the expected number of passing devices.
A 3.84
B 6.40
C 8.00
D 9.60
E 12.16
Variant answer in brief
The variance equation gives p(1-p)=0.24, whose roots are 0.40 and 0.60. The condition p>0.50 selects 0.60, so the expected count is 16(0.60)=9.60 and choice D.
Setup
Setup
Let T be the total number of passing devices. Equal independent pass probabilities make T binomial.
T∼Binomial(16,p)
Var(T)=16p(1−p)=3.84
Model
Model
Solve the variance equation for its two symmetric probability roots and use the directional condition to choose one.
p(1−p)=0.24
p2−p+0.24=0
Compute
Compute
The quadratic roots are 0.40 and 0.60; only the larger root satisfies the engineering information.
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