This Exam P sample reference tests Set Counting. This is a three-set membership-count problem. Membership totals show that 450 drivers have exactly two factors; adding 1,200 with exactly one, 300 with all three, and 500 with none gives 2,450 and choice C.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThe value 2,000 is 1,200+300+500. It includes the exactly-one, all-three, and no-factor classes but omits every driver with exactly two factors.
BThe value 2,300 is obtained by including only two of the three 150-driver exactly-two regions: 1,200+2(150)+300+500. One pairwise-only region is missing.
DThe value 2,750 counts the all-three group twice after the disjoint partition: 1,200+450+2(300)+500. Each driver must appear once in the study total.
EThe value 3,500 adds the three individual factor counts to the 500 with no factors. The individual counts overlap, so exactly-two and all-three drivers are counted repeatedly.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: exactly one flag among flagged samples
A laboratory audits 600 samples using flags A, B, and C. The individual flag counts are 280, 250, and 220. The inclusive pairwise intersection counts are 120, 90, and 80, and 40 samples carry all three flags. Among samples bearing one or more flags, determine the proportion bearing exactly one.
A 0.167
B 0.283
C 0.340
D 0.483
E 0.580
Variant answer in brief
Inclusion-exclusion gives 500 samples with at least one flag. Removing repeated pair and triple memberships gives 290 samples with exactly one flag, so the conditional probability is 290/500=0.58 and choice E.
Setup
Setup
Apply three-set inclusion-exclusion to count samples carrying at least one flag.
n(A∪B∪C)=280+250+220−120−90−80+40
=500
Model
Model
Recover the exactly-one count from the individual, inclusive pairwise, and triple counts.
n1=∑n(Ai)−2∑n(Ai∩Aj)+3n(A∩B∩C)
Compute
Compute
Evaluate the exactly-one count and normalize it within the flagged samples.
n1=750−2(290)+3(40)=290
Pr(exactly one∣A∪B∪C)=500290=0.58
Answer
Answer
Among flagged samples, 58.0 percent carry exactly one flag.
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