This Exam P sample reference tests Sums of Independent Random Variables. Writing the common mean as mu converts the two coefficients of variation into standard deviations 3mu and 4mu. The average retains mean mu and has standard deviation 5mu/2, so its coefficient of variation is 5/2 and choice C.
How to solve this Sums of Independent Random Variables question
Setup
Setup
Translate each coefficient of variation into a standard deviation using the common positive mean.
E[X]=E[Y]=μ
SD(X)=3μ,SD(Y)=4μ
Model
Model
Find the mean and variance of the average, using independence for the variance sum.
E[2X+Y]=μ
Var(2X+Y)=49μ2+16μ2=425μ2
Compute
Compute
Take the square root and divide by the mean.
SD(2X+Y)=25μ
CV(2X+Y)=μ5μ/2=25
Answer
Answer
The coefficient of variation is 2.5.
25(C)
Test the method on unseen problems
Probability Multivariate & Risk Models Practice Workbook
30 original multivariate random variables problems with complete solutions and wrong-choice analysis. Written for Exam P, not copied from the SOA set. One-time $19 PDF.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AThe value 5/4 takes the root-sum-square value 5 and divides by four. The factor one-half has already scaled both the mean and standard deviation; it must not be applied a second time to the ratio.
BThe value 7/4 adds the two input coefficients of variation and divides by four. Independent variances combine by the root-sum-square rule, not by adding coefficients directly.
DThe value 7/2 averages the two coefficients as (3+4)/2. This ignores variance addition and uses a simple arithmetic average.
EThe value 7 is 3+4. It adds the two coefficients of variation without accounting for either independence or the mean of the combined variable.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: coefficient of variation with shared demand
Independent components C, E1, and E2 have respective means 10, 4, and 6 and standard deviations 2, 1, and 3. Two regional loads are A=C+E1 and B=C+E2, so they share the common component C. Calculate the coefficient of variation of A+B.
A 0.105
B 0.141
C 0.170
D 0.267
E 0.340
Answer and calculation
The total is A+B=2C+E1+E2, with mean 30 and variance 26. Its coefficient of variation is √(26)/30=0.169967, which rounds to choice C.
Setup
Setup
Rewrite the total in terms of the three independent underlying components.
A+B=2C+E1+E2
Model
Model
Apply the repeated common-component coefficient to both the mean and variance.