This Exam P sample reference tests Conditional Outcome Counting. There are 15 ordered dice outcomes with the red die larger. Nine of them have opposite parities and hence an odd sum, giving 9/15=3/5, choice E.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
DThe value one half assumes parity remains exactly balanced after conditioning on the red result being larger. Direct counting gives nine favorable outcomes out of 15.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: odd sums under an ordering condition
Two fair eight-sided dice numbered 1 through 8 are rolled, one red and one green. Given that the red result exceeds the green result, find the probability that their sum is odd.
A 3/7
B 1/2
C 15/28
D 4/7
E 5/8
Variant answer in brief
There are C(8,2)=28 ordered outcomes with red greater. Sixteen have opposite parity, so the conditional probability is 16/28=4/7, choice D.
Setup
Setup
There are 28 ordered outcomes in which the red eight-sided die exceeds the green die.
N(R>G)=(28)=28
Model
Model
The sum is odd exactly when the two results have opposite parity. Counting those red-greater pairs gives 16 favorable outcomes.
N(R>G,R+G odd)=1+1+2+2+3+3+4=16
Compute
Compute
Dividing 16 by 28 reduces to four sevenths.
Pr=2816=74
Answer
Answer
The conditional odd-sum probability is four sevenths.
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