This Exam FM sample reference tests Duration and Convexity. Modified duration is negative P prime divided by P. Differentiating the year-3 and year-4 discounted terms gives the numerator 1,500 times (1+i) to the −4 minus 4,000 times (1+i) to the −5, which is the expression in choice A.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
BChoice B does not satisfy negative price derivative divided by the original cash-flow price function; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
CChoice C does not satisfy negative price derivative divided by the original cash-flow price function; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
DChoice D does not satisfy negative price derivative divided by the original cash-flow price function; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
EChoice E does not satisfy negative price derivative divided by the original cash-flow price function; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: modified duration of a three-date positive cash-flow stream
A portfolio pays 200 today, 300 at year 2, and 500 at year 5. At a 4% annual effective yield, calculate its modified duration.
A 2.26 years
B 2.40 years
C 2.54 years
D 2.68 years
E 2.82 years
Variant answer in brief
The portfolio price is 888.33. Dividing the negative price derivative 2509.18 by that price gives modified duration 2.8246 years, choice E.
Setup
Setup
Price the three cash flows at 4%; the time-0 cash flow is included in price but has no duration numerator.
P=200+300(1.04)−2+500(1.04)−5
Model
Model
Compute the negative derivative with respect to annual yield.
−P′(i)=2(300)(1.04)−3+5(500)(1.04)−6
Compute
Compute
The price is 888.330417 and derivative magnitude is 2509.184130, giving 2.82460679 years.
Dmod=P−P′(i)=2.8246067912
Answer
Answer
The modified duration is 2.8246 years, selecting choice E.
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