Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: four-year spot rate reconstructed from a final-year forward rate
The three-year annual effective spot rate is 4%. The one-year forward rate applying only during year 4 is 6%. Under no arbitrage, calculate the four-year annual effective spot rate.
- A
4.50% - B
4.72% - C
4.95% - D
5.17% - E
5.40%
Answer and calculation
The four-year accumulation factor is the three-year spot factor multiplied by 1.06. Taking its fourth root gives a four-year spot rate of 4.50%, choice A.
Setup
Setup
Build the four-year accumulation by rolling the three-year spot investment through the known fourth-year forward period.
(1+s4)4=(1.04)3(1.06) Model
Model
Take the fourth root to convert the total four-year factor to an annual effective spot rate.
s4=[(1.04)3(1.06)]1/4−1 Compute
Compute
The annualized four-year spot rate is 4.4964%.
s4=0.04496434 Answer
Answer
The four-year spot rate is 4.50%, selecting choice A.
s4≈4.50%(A)