This Exam FM sample reference tests Spot and Forward Rates. Discounting each dated cash flow at its matching spot rate gives present-value components of 9.62, 10.99, 12.77, and 15.26. Their sum is 48.64, choice B.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AChoice A (47.33) does not satisfy the sum of four maturity-specific discounted cash flows; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
CChoice C (49.50) does not satisfy the sum of four maturity-specific discounted cash flows; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
DChoice D (50.04) does not satisfy the sum of four maturity-specific discounted cash flows; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
EChoice E (51.14) does not satisfy the sum of four maturity-specific discounted cash flows; no distinct standard one-step error is identifiable.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: missing three-year spot rate recovered from a quoted portfolio value
A portfolio pays 500 at year 1, 800 at year 2, and 1,000 at year 3. The one- and two-year spot rates are 3% and 4%. Its present value is 2088.92. Calculate the three-year annual effective spot rate.
A 4.75%
B 5.00%
C 5.25%
D 5.50%
E 5.75%
Variant answer in brief
The first two payments contribute 1225.08 of present value. The remaining value assigned to the year-3 payment implies a three-year spot rate of 5.00%, choice B.
Setup
Setup
Remove the known present values of the first two payments from the quoted total price.
PV3=2088.92−1.03500−(1.04)2800
Model
Model
The residual must equal the discounted year-3 payment at the unknown three-year spot rate.
PV3=1000(1+s3)−3
Compute
Compute
Solving the residual discount factor gives annual spot rate 5.0000%.
s3=(PV31000)1/3−1=0.05000000
Answer
Answer
The three-year spot rate is 5.00%, selecting choice B.
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