This Exam FM sample reference tests Duration and Convexity. The Macaulay price ratio implies duration 3.8512; dividing by 1.05 converts it to modified duration 3.67, choice A.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
BChoice B is inconsistent with the logarithmic inversion of the Macaulay price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
CChoice C is inconsistent with the logarithmic inversion of the Macaulay price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
DChoice D is inconsistent with the logarithmic inversion of the Macaulay price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
EChoice E is inconsistent with the logarithmic inversion of the Macaulay price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: duration implied by a projected library-annuity value
A library annuity is worth 80,000 at 6% yield. A Macaulay yield-factor estimate values it at 77,000 when yield is 6.5%. Determine its modified duration at 6%.
A 7.00
B 7.35
C 7.66
D 8.12
E 8.50
Variant answer in brief
The value ratio implies Macaulay duration 8.122; dividing by 1.06 gives modified duration 7.66, choice C.
Setup
Setup
Use the estimated price ratio to recover the Macaulay exponent rather than applying a linear formula backward.
77000=80000(1.0651.06)DM
Model
Model
Logarithms divide the log value ratio by the log old-to-new accumulation ratio.
DM=ln(1.06/1.065)ln(77000/80000)=8.12199
Compute
Compute
The recovered Macaulay duration is 8.12199; converting at the original yield gives 7.66226.
Dmod=8.12199/1.06=7.66226
Answer
Answer
The annuity's modified duration is 7.66 years, choice C.
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