This Exam FM sample reference tests Duration and Convexity. The first-order Macaulay ratio is (1.10/1.1025)¹¹ = 0.97534, so the approximate price change is −2.47%, choice B.
These notes identify the calculation error associated with each wrong letter when that error is reproducible.
AChoice A is inconsistent with the Macaulay yield-factor price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
CChoice C is inconsistent with the Macaulay yield-factor price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
DChoice D is inconsistent with the Macaulay yield-factor price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
EChoice E is inconsistent with the Macaulay yield-factor price ratio; no distinct standard single-step error producing it is identifiable.
Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: duration estimate for municipal arts
A municipal arts instrument is worth 2000 and has modified duration 6.50. Its yield rises by 15 basis points. Using the first-order modified-duration approximation, estimate the new price.
A 1997.00
B 2003.00
C 1980.50
D 2019.50
E 2000.00
Variant answer in brief
The first-order relative change is -0.975%, giving price 1980.50, choice C.
Setup
Setup
Convert the basis-point movement to a decimal change in yield and retain the sign of the increase.
Dmod=6.5000,Δi=0.001500
Model
Model
Modified duration approximates the proportional price change as negative duration times the yield change.
PΔP≈−DmodΔi
Compute
Compute
The yield increase implies a proportional change of -0.00975000; applying it to 2000 gives 1980.50.
P1=2000(1−6.5000(0.001500))=1980.50
Answer
Answer
The estimated post-change price is 1980.50, which is choice C.
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