Original practice · fully worked
Original variant: use modified duration for a price estimate
A fixed-income portfolio has modified duration 10.3349. Estimate its percentage price change for an immediate 0.30 percentage-point increase in annual yield, using the first-order duration approximation.
- A
-4.100% - B
-3.600% - C
-3.100% - D
3.100% - E
3.600%
Answer and calculation
The first-order estimate is minus modified duration times the yield change, or -3.100%, choice C.
Setup
Setup
Convert the 0.30 percentage-point yield increase to decimal change 0.0030.
PΔP≈−DmodΔi Model
Model
Apply the negative modified-duration sensitivity to the yield change.
PΔP≈−10.3349(0.0030) Compute
Compute
The estimated proportional price change is negative 0.0310047.
PΔP≈−0.0310047 Answer
Answer
The portfolio price is expected to fall about 3.100%, corresponding to choice C.
ΔP/P≈−3.100%(C)